Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 98274.132113 103571.748259 108863.685971 114543.087362 120462.170276 126445.607533 132947.651220
2025-08-17 89087.096733 97163.305959 105452.077362 114584.152597 124352.034365 134475.871836 145750.864057
2025-08-24 83406.840425 93462.048471 104003.278734 115855.931822 128789.337185 142451.166306 157950.733604
2025-08-31 78108.637819 89561.495812 101785.563239 115767.374832 131279.583860 147924.507460 167097.080254
2025-09-07 74828.835860 87521.393579 101279.501814 117247.244892 135213.923265 154748.841411 177537.694580
2025-09-14 71763.221573 85461.954644 100519.550254 118226.149328 138401.448816 160596.524411 186780.514487
2025-09-21 68579.068895 83057.326951 99180.218899 118371.233784 140492.661715 165091.621986 194409.714520
2025-09-28 65766.389338 80915.945142 97992.374502 118548.718323 142498.605883 169394.950405 201752.214730
2025-10-05 64214.640726 80142.804501 98294.792949 120368.358768 146333.097105 175749.667995 211433.595019
2025-10-12 62633.667210 79242.178624 98368.066040 121850.277532 149722.382696 181561.874995 220486.056843
2025-10-19 60810.838725 77962.956101 97915.926984 122641.927907 152246.347435 186333.680153 228316.225787
2025-10-26 58772.258886 76336.165460 96971.731687 122775.875194 153932.734186 190083.484494 234926.971824
2025-11-02 56967.542885 74949.819430 96284.435421 123200.620013 155969.297301 194275.143802 242123.244419
2025-11-09 55112.681296 73436.321809 95386.299188 123321.129029 157605.172057 197974.975391 248742.556571
2025-11-16 54003.340253 72807.531042 95533.978422 124689.247773 160735.939540 203463.671517 257527.096629
2025-11-23 52250.307493 71303.049065 94541.449774 124599.278063 162043.246658 206728.363606 263622.216832
2025-11-30 51395.725499 70908.259667 94904.274849 126171.549538 165385.788801 212466.485228 272743.778613
2025-12-07 50344.286404 70219.994495 94863.912413 127211.057793 168051.254699 217376.530183 280873.092849
2025-12-14 48945.677192 69034.378560 94151.377556 127365.134129 169583.664825 220880.583662 287278.999056
2025-12-21 47633.749810 67920.453017 93492.715199 127553.566559 171133.330559 224392.366769 293696.776227
2025-12-28 47150.184976 67881.649436 94203.144273 129485.159069 174887.206351 230655.435460 303561.101827
2026-01-04 46539.215876 67649.364291 94644.358442 131058.015761 178183.500979 236359.580943 312760.411708
2026-01-11 45650.107979 67014.379909 94535.378462 131898.160443 180532.564576 240877.704906 320493.783294